The recent flare-up on the southern Lebanese border raised concerns of a new conflict between Lebanon and Israel, partly due to the fact that some of the status-quo rules of engagement between Hezbollah and Israel had been broken in the process.
Notably, Michel Hayek had predicted something similar during his forecast for this year, last December.
“Contrary to the will of Hezbollah and Israel, in one day, the rules of the game will break and all controls will be lost,” Hayek said during his forecast for Lebanon.
Although the Israeli warplanes did not directly strike any targets other than open fields, the attack was considered an escalation from previous incidents, during which the exchange of fire would usually be limited to open areas strictly along the border.
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